No objective clue. Rivals lists are schools kid lists initially. Offers,campus and home visits seem to elevate cool level. Offers,in and of themselves dont seem to have much impact,at least at FCS level. 247 seems similar.
Take Wiley ,who we offered. Given the list we would seem to be his safety school. Look at Fossati from last yr. He was waiting for IL, so we were held by him as his fall back. Only objective point is signing day. Long winded way of saying that temperatures listed are meaningless at least for me.