I think Boston U could easily be the preseason pick for #1 next year for all of the reasons you cite. It has helped them that they were able to land players like Maurice Watson – who Bucknell and Penn had to drop due to AI issues – who they won’t be able to recruit going forward. However they should be able to stay in the top part of the PL even in 2014-15 since they have a pretty good basketball track record, an attractive location, and a coach who has experience in recruiting players under an AI.
I think Loyola will have a significant drop-off next year, even though Cormier is very good. Losing Etherly, Olson, Winbush, and Brooks is huge. Going forward, I doubt they will be a power. Most of Patsos’ recruits and transfers would never be admissible with the AI. In fact, I expect him to leave for a school with no academic standards within the next 14 months, since I doubt he will be very effective in recruiting players with good academic credentials.