January 7, 2011 at 2:42 pm #3095
LU (9-6….0-0) @ AU (10-5….0-0)
Sagarin Rankings and Resulting Lines
Rankings (345 D-I schools)
Lehigh / American
Sagarin: 158 / 113
RPI: 167 / 100
Pomeroy: 207 / 162
Resulting Line and Chance of Winning
Sagarin: AU – 7
Pomeroy: AU wins 72-65 (75% Chance)
http://www.lehighsports.com/assets/1/wo … /42110.PDF
AU’s Last Game Story and Video
http://www.aueagles.com/sports/m-baskbl … 0103eevdzp
Moldovenanu (9th 20+ game and goes 10 for 11 from line) and Brewer (5 for 6 from three) combine for 43 after slow start to down Brown. AU commits just 5 turnovers.January 7, 2011 at 3:37 pm #3096
Other PL Game Lines (Sagarin)
BU -12 1/2 @ Navy
Army – 8 @ CU
LC + 1 @ HCJanuary 7, 2011 at 10:14 pm #3098
A game of contrasts?
LU 1.57 yrs. overall …. we’ll start: 1 Fr / 3 So / 1 Sr
AU 2.26 yrs. overall …. they’ll start: 2 Jr / 3 Sr
LU 72.3 possessions/game – 8th highest in D-I
AU 63.5 possessions/game – 322nd in D-I
LU 30.1% – 237th in D-I
AU 35.3% – 107th in D-I
While both teams shoot the ball well from 15 feet (LU @ 73.7% and AU @ 71.9%), one team relies on the charity stripe a bit more, as can be seen by the two comparisons below.
Percentage of pts. scored from the line
LU 28.2% – 2nd in D-I
AU 20.0% – 215th in D-I
LU 50.5% – 8th in D-I
AU 35.1% – 225th in D-I
It’ll be interest to see what strategies Coach Reed employs to combat AU’s size, experience, and defensive prowess (the Eagles top the PL in Scoring D @ 62.2ppg and D Rebounds @31.8rpg) and their latest addition, 6’5" Georgia transfer, Troy Brewer. He only leads the team in minutes played (481) and averages 11.7 ppg hitting 45.5% of his shots. I can’t help but think at its core will be (a) controlling the tempo with accelerated play in an attempt to beat the AU defensive sets, (b) getting to the line where we excel while at the same time hoping to put Lumpkins and Vlad into foul trouble, and (c) better ball movement coupled with finding open 3’s – something we’ve struggle with despite Ojo heroics against NJIT, and finding an answer for Brewer (Ojo my choice).
Stealing one on the road won’t be easy but it’ll sure be fun to watch.January 8, 2011 at 12:59 am #3099
Anyone have any info on Mackey?January 8, 2011 at 6:34 pm #3102
"LU65" wrote: their latest addition, 6’5" Georgia transfer, Troy Brewer. He only leads the team in minutes played (481) and averages 11.7 ppg hitting 45.5% of his shots.
Brewer is indeed a transfer but by AU’s standards, he is old news. Charles Hinkle, who transferred in last Christmas from Vanderbilt, just recently became eligible. He is a 6’5" 2/3 who is supposed to be very tough defensively. Thus far he is averaging 17 mpg, but i’m sure that figure will rise above 20 as he gets acclimated.
Jones’ recent philosophy seems to be to push out freshmen if it looks like they’re not as good as advertised (e.g. Josh Snodgrass, Jeff Holton, Mike Technow) and then use their scholarships for transfers (Vlad, Brewer, Hinkle). Since AU joined the PL, they have used more transfers than the other seven schools added together.January 10, 2011 at 5:16 pm #3107
Entertaining game on Saturday. Definetely a winnable game – on the raod at one fo the top teams in the league no less. Unfortunately we were done in by rebounding (hindered by foul trouble) and Vlad.
Vlad was unconcsious in the second half.
CJ played great, and Mackey and Holden were both very solid. It really hurt us that Gabe was in so much foul trouble. I wonder if Maneri and Adams are hurt or have just fallen so far off Reed’s rader that they are behind both Safstrom and McCarthy even when those two are clearly struggling.
Really hard to win games – especially against good teams – when outrebounded 44-24. We have 17 defensive boards, and AU had 15 offensive boards. Essentially every time AU shot, they had a 47% of getting their rebound. Brutal.
I really hope we can find some rebounding from someone. Hopefully box out, rebounding, and toughness drills all week for this squad.January 10, 2011 at 11:39 pm #3108
Not the end of the world. Game brought out the best in both squads. Don’t look for a ledge if inclined to jump. Instead, look to our rematch at home against the Eagles on Saturday, February 5th.
PS……The home team won three of four game played on opening day, as is so often the case in PL play. The team that wins 4 or 5 of its 7 away from home will undoubtedly host a playoff game or two come March. The Bison are off to a good start and have a chance to pull away in the category with a win over AU on Wednesday. Let’s see how they fare. A good comparison game if you ask me.
But, there is reason for concern and that’s in our inability to rebound the ball winning just one battle in our last five games and that came at home against the Peacocks of St. Peters. Over the last three, we’re 79-112, coming away with just 41% of the chances. Another concern of mine besides the well-documented worry about "the other big man or men-knowing Gabe can’t do it alone," would be CJ. Yup, I’m looking for CJ to have it all – as billed and as needed in my humble opinion – for us to reach the top. That is especially true if we continue, as a team, to give up possessions and points via the lost rebound. Don’t look now but CJ is 4 for 22 from three in his last six – a fact that has been masked by his ability to get to the line and make his shots with uncanny regularity (42 of 49 over the last six or .857). Lehigh will need his 3-ball and other’s, as well. We won’t make it on five made threes a game – today average.
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