September 23, 2009 at 1:25 pm #714
….here are the only numbers that count as coaches, players and fans look ahead to the games to be played on November 28th – the start of the FCS Playoffs:
If you agree, don’t despair. Come in off the ledge, Lehigh fans. The "true" season as yet to begin for us and three other teams. We are, after all, only a half-game out of first place. In my mind, the OOC preseason is just that – a string of five exhibition games scheduled to iron out the wrinkles. No doubt Lehigh has a few of them but time is on our side. Our first meaningful game is still 17 days away (Georgetown, 10/10) and if you believe those who write off the worth of Bucknell and Georgetown (not that I do), you gotta like our yearend slate of games that doesn’t kick into gear until Halloween (10/31) with a trip to Hamilton followed by games against: HC @ home, FU on the road, and LC @ home. More than enough time for us to get healthy and prep for what might be a four week run to the Playoffs. Hey, as a die-hard Met fan, you gotta believe.
One more thing, take your mind off the 3 and 0 Crusaders of Holy Cross and the 3 and 0 Raiders of Colgate for awhile. Nice, but consider the source. First, remember there are 125 FCS teams. Then, know that Holy Cross shot down the 119th ranked, 0 and 2, Sacred Heart Pioneers – a team that hung 21 points on the Fitton Field scoreboard. That doesn’t impress me. Nor does their win over the 112th ranked, 0 and 3 Hoyas of Georgetown – a team that went into the 4th quarter of that game leading 7 to 6. OK, I’ll recognize the Crusader win over Harvard yet quickly point out that while they knocked off a Top 25 team, the Crimson hadn’t lined up to take a snap in the ’09 season before venturing out to Worcester last weekend. Still to come for the gang in purple that have yet to board a bus for a road game are: Northeastern (91 ranked, 0-2), Brown (57 ranked, 0-1), and Dartmouth (102 ranked, 0-1) – not necessarily what you’d call a "murder’s row" lineup. How about Colgate and their 3-0 start? Let’s see, you have Monmouth, Stoney Brook, and Dartmouth – none ranked in the Top 60 of all FCS schools. The three did, however, combine to score 51 points on the Raiders. Still to come in OOC play are: Cornell and Princeton. Are we possibly looking at two highly one-dimensional teams in HC and CU? Again, have some may have suggested, there’s no way in my mind that either team should be thinking of a Wild Card berth in the Playoffs should one or both they fail to take home the PL Crown and say finish 10-1 or 9-2. The PL is the lowest ranked "auto bid" conference in the FCS. To think Wild Card you better post a win over a ranked member of either the CAA, Southern or Big Sky conference.
Enough rambling, here are the Patriot League Sagarin Numbers entering play this weekend and a closer look at Princeton vs. Lehigh spread.
Sagarin (245 ranked D-I Teams)
Awarding three rating points to the home team in this weekend’s play, the "line" for the Princeton game would be: LU – 3 1/2 points.
Other polling data (thanks to guys on the Holy Cross Board) would include:
1. CSL Ratings (125 FCS teams)
2. The 16 FCS Polls (combined) – 125 teams
Let the games begin! Oh, I’ll go with Lehigh 28 / Princeton 17.September 23, 2009 at 8:31 pm #716
65, LC should be 1-0. Loss was to Liberty.September 23, 2009 at 10:02 pm #719
Oooops. Sorry about that. LC is indeed 1-0 in PL play.September 24, 2009 at 1:58 am #722
Agree with you 65. However, how well we do against Princeton and Harvard will be a very good insight into the soul of our team. I believe you cannot just ‘turn it on’ at will. Winning is contagious and playing to win and getting a confidence ‘high’ is important.
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