January 28, 2013 at 4:03 pm #9149
PL teams dropping like a stone.
Lehigh dropped about 50 spots in the span of 4 days.
Obviously, the Lafayette loss killed us, plus VCU’s weak play drops them as an opponent (now out of Top 25), and our SOS probably weakens slightly as we jump into PL play. Pitt and Baylor still top 25 teams, but we are 0-2 against them. We are 0-3 vs. Top 50 (VCU loss added in), and Bucknell no longer a Top 50 win.
Bryant down to 212 and Lafayette 217, so we have now 2 losses to 200+ teams, both at home, ouch! Bryant suffered their 6th loss over the weekend to 10-10 LIU-Brooklyn at home, which hurts us.January 28, 2013 at 6:09 pm #9155
Over on KenPom, the results aren’t much different.
Bucknell: They entered play against Lehigh ranked 43rd. Their loss dropped them to 50th entering play at HC. Their win over the Crusaders bumped them up a bit to their present ranking of 48.
Lehigh: We entered play against Lafayette ranked 60th. Our win over the Bison levated us to 56th entering play against Lafayette. Our loss to the Leopards dropped us 25 slots to our present 81st post. For what’s it worth, Lafayette jumped 32 positions after beating us raising their ranking to a yearly best 214.
Things could be worse, I guess. Consider Southwestern Athletic Conference member, Grambling. The Tigers are ranked dead last by Pomeroy @ 347 and have been there from the start of the season. Today, they 0 -17. Yes, they are the only D-I team without a win. Hat’s off to their 1,716 loyal fans who crowd their arena each night. Up next for the Tigers is the 340th ranked Mississippi Valley State team. Grambling is given an 11% chance by Pomeroy of pulling off an upset. And, we fans of Lehigh feel bad today. I guess it’s all relative.
Navy in 54 hours!January 28, 2013 at 7:56 pm #9157
RPI Forecast has us at 81 currently, with an expected year end RPI of 75. Interesting in that they have us favored in the rest of the regular season games, but expect us to lose 2 games of those left and end up at 20-7. They put us at as a 5.3 point favorite at Holy Cross and a 1.2 point favorite at home vs. Bucknell. Lehigh has a real shot to run the table to get to 22-5, as they will be favored in every game, but I could see losses at Holy Cross and vs. Bucknell at home. But, we control our own destiny. If we run the table, we end up 13-1 to Bucknell’s 12-2. What is also interesting is that between Bucknell and Lehigh, Lehigh is the team most likely to trip up and have a lousy game, but Lehigh is also better than Bucknell head to head. But, it would be a shame to beat Bucknell twice, and lose the PL Reg season with 3 losses. If we beat Bucknell at Stabler, it would be hard for us to lose 3 conference games, but we could trip up at HC and in Easton. But, I doubt we lose both of those, especially to Lafayette with revenge. The scary game is Holy Cross with revenge up there. We just can’t lose to the lower tier (Colgate, Navy, Army, American). We need to go 8-0 in those games.
Last question, in a PL final, would you like to be home, although history probably favors us at Sojka? I am curious to see if Lehigh can hold serve at Stabler coming up. I would feel more comfortable hosting a PL final if we showed an ability to beat Bucknell at home. Also, can Lehigh defeat Bucknell 3 times in a season? Probably not, which is why we may be better off following last season’s formula (split, winning on each other’s home court, then Lehigh wins second game at Sojka (hopefully with a healthy CJ)). Caveat to all of this would be that I cannot see CJ losing his last college game at home if we hosted a PL final.
You must be logged in to reply to this topic.