December 6, 2013 at 12:53 am #12560
WHO is UMBC?
I had to do some research to satisfy myself. Here goes, in case you didn’t know………
Student Enrollment, Fall 2012: 13,637
Freshman Class Profile
Average GPA: 3.7
Average SAT: 1223 (critical reading and mathematics)
UMBC offers 42 majors and 41 minors, as well as 17 certificate programs, spanning the arts, engineering and information technology, humanities, sciences, pre-professional studies and social sciences.
UMBC’s Graduate School offers 37 master’s degree programs, 24 doctoral degree programs and 21 graduate certificate programs. Programs are offered in education, engineering, emergency health services, imaging and digital arts, information technology, aging services, life sciences, psychology, public policy and a host of other fields.
More than 400 student-athletes compete in 19 NCAA Division I sports. The UMBC Retrievers participate in the America East Conference. Facilities include a 4,500-seat stadium and track and field complex, the 4,000-seat Retriever Activities Center (RAC) Arena, an indoor and outdoor aquatics complex, tennis courts, a soccer stadium, baseball and softball fields and practice fields. UMBC’s mascot is the Chesapeake Bay Retriever and our spirit colors are black and gold.
UMBC is located on 500 acres 15 minutes from Baltimore’s Inner Harbor and 30 minutes from Washington, D.C.
The game at hand
Game Time / Location / TV
2pm, Saturday, Dec. 7th / Stabler Arena / PL Network
Not yet published
KenPom Rankings and Chance of Winning
UMBS (2-6) ranked 311th
America East Conference (28th ranked)
Lehigh (3-4) ranked 196th
Patriot League (16th ranked)
LU wins 75-64 (87% chance)
Get to Know UMBC Retriever Basketball
No stranger to PL play, they have already lost to: AU by 2, Loyola (MD) by 6 and to Navy by 15
Their 2 D-I wins came at home over Mt. St. Mary’s and Maryland Eastern Shore.
The last time out they lost to 207th ranked Dukes of Duquesne.
Chris Plummer, their 6’6” sr. forward, takes 38.1% of their shots. Only two other players across American take a greater percentage of their team’s shots. He has led the team in scoring 32 times over the course of his career.
They play an up-tempo game. In fact, only 56 of the 351 teams in D-I play at a faster pace. The need to get back on “D” will certainly be put to the test. This up-tempo style of play was once a hallmark of LU basketball. This year, however, we’re in the bottom quartile of teams in terms of ‘pace of play.’
They can rebound the ball, snatching over 33% off the offensive board and giving up just 30% on defense. While they may get out-rebounded by an average of 1 board/game, it compares favorably to our -8.1 rebounding margin.
They struggle from beyond the arc with a 3FG% of .285 (301st best).
While they may start 2 seniors (Roseboro and Plummer), their overall experience level is about like ours, i.e., weak.
While prone to giving the ball up via a steal, they’ll take it away from you with relative ease (11.3% of each possession (35th best) and, in general, force turnovers 20.2% of the time -another top 100 stat in their favor. I’ll be anxious to see how respond to the pressure.
Roseboro (6.3ppg, 5.2rpg) matches Kempton in height @ 6’10”
They have played 3 OT games – winning one and losing two. Their win, the team’s best of the year, came against Mount St. Mary’s. Great video highlights available at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Js9drcCpBb0December 6, 2013 at 3:12 am #12562
Thanks for the research, 65!!December 6, 2013 at 3:03 pm #12563
This is kind of interesting, to me. Found a stats-based preview for this game, which uses a “Four Factors of Basketball Success” methodology.
The “Four Factors” thing was new to me, so I went looking for definitions, and found this.
The good news is that we have the edge in the two most important factors, based on weights assigned in the 2nd link. On the downside, our gaps on the other 2 are pretty big…December 6, 2013 at 3:30 pm #12564
If this was lacrosse, I might have some fear of UMBC. But, not in hoops. Lehigh rolls. Double digits.December 7, 2013 at 2:29 pm #12569December 7, 2013 at 9:34 pm #12572
a very sloppy game which Lehigh barely won. The attendance was consistent with the quality of the play – weak.
Thank, God, for the free throw shooting at the dragged out end of the game.December 7, 2013 at 11:32 pm #12575
Glad they won, but not much else positive. If you struggle with that level competition at home, it’s a problem.December 7, 2013 at 11:37 pm #12576
REAL sloppy, against what looked like a far-less-talented opponent. Playing down not a good sign.
Did/does the coaching staff have a “screw the offensive rebounding” strategy? Strategized by game? We got 5 OR, compared to 14 ORs by UMBC, and it seemed like every time we’d take a long-range shot, our guys up front wouldn’t even contest the rebounds — they’d drop back to play D.
Good D from Goldsborough — 4 RB in 10 mins …
Good team effort, too; points spread around …
Attendance was awful — last day of classes Friday, I think. Finals headed students’ way. Lots of good football on the tube.December 8, 2013 at 12:18 am #12577
Can anyone explain why the good Dr. didn’t have any of the LU guards up court to force UMBC to pick up their dribble on in-bounds plays in the waning minutes of the game? Not sure how much time was squandered while UMBC ball handlers let the ball roll up past half court time after time before picking it up to start time. Those precious seconds could have cost the game.December 8, 2013 at 2:43 am #12578
A puzzling game. One that should not have been close. Nothing seems to being done to emphasize O rebounding. Unless Doc planning on us shooting 70% from the field going to be hard to even finish in the top 5. A puzzle.December 8, 2013 at 2:27 pm #12586
I’ll take a stab at the (limited) positives from this one. I thought the D looked really, really good. Very disruptive, got in their passing lanes. Gave them a hard time getting the ball inside. On top of that, in spite of giving up 14 ORs, we held them to only 6 second chance points per the box score. Again, I think that was a result of good D in the paint. Our size advantages surely helped there, though.
We did a much better job of getting to the free-throw line (37 attempts), and shot them a bit better too (70%).
SW continues to look more comfortable and confident, and it was really nice to see AP shoot well again. When he’s on, we need to get him more attempts, I think.
I’m once again impressed with JGs productivity. The one thing holding him back is his hands, at this point. Still struggling to catch some passes, and gets it poked away too often once he does.December 8, 2013 at 6:52 pm #12588
We’ve all noted our concern about the rebounding situation. And to some extent I think we’ve all wondered if the coaching staff was a concerned as we have been. For those who do not get the Allentown Morning Call, they reported (per SW) that the Doc’s UMBC halftime chalkboard had only one word: “REBOUND”. And they quote the Doc as saying post game, “If we can solve that rebounding issue, we give our team a much better chance at being successful this year.” Second half was obviously better and hopefully this continues. See ya all Monday night!December 8, 2013 at 8:50 pm #12589
The Good Doctor might wish to put “REBOUND” on the board before the game starts. It obviously worked at the half. See stats below.
Team / “O” Boards / “D” Boards / Total
UMBC / 13 / 12 / 25
LU / 0 / 13 / 13
Team / “O” Boards / “D” Boards / Total
UMBC / 1 / 12 / 13
LU / 5 / 14 / 19
Allow me to paraphrase SW’s post game comments following his 11 pt., 2 board, 2 assist, 1 block, 1 steal….. “I take pride in my defense… it’s mainly the reason I’m getting the minutes I am.” Apparently, he’s got the message. Now, if only the others would!December 9, 2013 at 1:38 am #12594
1 block 1 steal, 2 boards by 6’7 G/F is main reason getting minutes? expectations much lower than mine.December 9, 2013 at 3:06 am #12595
I missed the game on Saturday, but after reading the comments, it sounds like that it was an “ugly” win. A win is still a win, especially with a young team in a close game. I definitely believe it will be a roller coaster year until they address the rebounding, on both ends of the floor.
Lehigh’s frontline, at times, is as big as many BCS teams: 6’7, 6’8, 6’10.
Maybe the coaches need to borrow a drill from MSU coach Tom Izzo and break out the football pads in practice.
Defense is much more than stats. In my opinion, the best wing defender to play college basketball was Billy King (6’6) at Duke. Career averages: .3 blks, 1 spg. (Senior year avg: .4 bpg, 1.5 spg).
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