Archive For The “Class of 2018” Category
In the distance, a lawnmower is heard on a bright, sunny day at Committee headquarters. The caps and gowns from graduations across the East coast are hung up on the hooks at the door. Half-empty bottles of scotch, and a few Yuengling bottles, litter the conference room table.
A knock is heard at the door. A Committee member gets up from a pizza and beer-induced coma, and answers the door.
“Package from Georgetown,” the UPS guy says.
The Committee member signs for the envelope, and opens it up. It’s the complete list of recruits for Georgetown’s Class of 2018, complete with a plush stuffed Hoya.
“Ah yes,” the Committee member mutters to himself. “It’s May, and it’s about the time that both Hoya football fans turn their attention to recruiting.”
Most Patriot League fan bases would be quite happy if you told them that a two-year won/loss record would be 18-4 with a couple of wins over perennial Top 25 teams, a sweep of Ivy League opponents, and a victory over your biggest rival.
But head coach Andy Coen, despite all the success, has plenty to wonder in regards to what could have been in the last two years.
One half away from a title in 2012. One touchdown away from a fifth straight win over that school in Easton. In a couple of seasons of fantastic comebacks and thrilling victories, its the two times where they couldn’t execute the comeback that stick out the most.
The offensive talent Lehigh has graduated too during this time – QB Michael Colvin, QB Brandon Bialkowski, WR Ryan Spadola, WR Lee Kurfis, RB Keith Sherman, OL Matt Lippincott, and FB Zach Hayden are but a few of those names – is substantial. If Lehigh hopes to transform oh-so-close into Patriot League Championships again, they’ll need to add new names to this list above.
Did this year’s recruiting class come close to doing so, according to the Patsy Rating system?
Let’s find out.
Lafayette head coach Frank Tavani holds a fairly odd distinction: in the last four seasons, his Leopards have finished the season with a sub-.500 record, yet the Spotted Ones also have – of all things – a Patriot League championship, and a trip to the FCS Playoffs last season to show for it.
Such is life in the seven-team Patriot League: you can struggle like a Leopard in a freezer in September and October, yet thaw out in time for league play and make a run to win the Championship.
In fact it was one of the players represented in last year’s Patsy Ratings, rising sophomore QB Drew Reed, that was a critical piece to their title run. Perhaps unsurprisingly, he was a two-star rated player by all the major scouting agencies, and was a huge factor in their Patsy Rating.
This season, will the Leopards have another Reed in their class? Will they have several? Will they have more than several? Will they have enough to have one of the best recruiting classes in the Patsy ratings this season?
In the last two years, Holy Cross has had a lot more moral victories than actual victories.
There was the last-second-almost-win against Lehigh two years ago, 36-35. There was the almost-miraculous comeback against Harvard, lost in overtime, 41-35. There were almost wins against Colgate. Fordham. The list goes on and on.
For head coach Tom Gilmore, whose Purple Crusaders went 3-9 (1-4), it must be agonizing to see his teams, so close to turning the corner, to just fall short.
The way to rectify the situation, of course, is recruiting.
This recruiting season, did Holy Cross do enough, according to the Patsy Ratings, to start to develop a squad that will start turning these moral victories into actual victories?
The big question regarding Fordham going into last year: What on Earth was happening with all of those scholarships?
With a two-year headstart on everyone else, many folks thought that the Lombardis would be stomping on the rest of the Patriot League by the 2012 season – if merit aid would indeed result in FCS championship-caliber teams.
In 2013, head coach Joe Moorhead finally delivered one of those types of teams, delivering an 11-1 regular season record, Fordham’s second-ever playoff victory, and a signal to the rest of the FCS of what regular scholarship Patriot League teams might look like in the future.
Yet the success, too, was not completely as it seemed.
Had Fordham been eligible for the Patriot League championship, they would have been no more than co-champions – with their loss to Lafayette, they would have lost the autobid to the Leopards anyway.
And the way they’ve built their team – as you will see – has not been so much built on Patsy Points, but has been at least partially built… in a way that the Patsy Points does not measure.
With this knowledge, how does Fordham’s Patsy point total stack up?
It’s Year One of the Dan Hunt era for the Colgate Raiders, and, by extension, the first Dick Biddle-less Patsy Ratings class for the Maroons up in Hamilton.
After very high hopes for the Raiders in 2013 – they had the preseason Patriot League offensive player of the year, QB Gavin McCarney, and were picked as the preseason favorites to win the Patriot League’s autobid – the Fightin’ Biddles suffered through injuries – none huger than the dogging ones to McCarney – to fall to a 4-8 record.
If there’s one thing that the HooDoos were able to do in an outstanding way with Biddle at the helm, it’s getting quality, Patriot League championship-caliber athletes to play football in the middle of frigid Hamilton. The Patsy Point system, too, acknowledges this, with the Gate securing a whopping 73 Patsy Points last year.
In Hamilton, Colgate transitions from Biddle (known to Lehigh fans, heretoforth, as “Bobblehead Biddle“) to Hunt. How did Dan Hunt’s Patsy class measure up to that of his boss?
We start out our Patsy Ratings for the Class of 2018 with the Bucknell Bison, who finished tied for second last season with a 3-2 conference record and a 6-5 overall tally.
It’s the second over-.500 and second six-win season for head coach Joe Susan in three years.
It’s also the first time that coach Susan had a winning record in official Patriot League play. (They also stampeded over Lehigh last season.)
Which leads us to this year’s Patsy Ratings.
According to the data, did coach Susan and his staff take their strong finish and translate it into a recruiting class that will shock and awe their Patriot League competition?
Last year, Bucknell finished with a respectable, but not stratospheric, 51 in the Class of 2017 Patsy Ratings for the Bison, which I’ll go into below the flip.
According to the numbers, this year’s class falls short of this number.
Once upon a time, there was a legendary Lafayette message board poster called carney, who came up with a way to attempt to rate, in a somewhat unbiased manner, Patriot League recruiting classes.
For years he posted his spreadsheet-based evaluations on the Any Given Saturday message board, and his somewhat dry, humorous description of the methodology and the rating. For hardcore Patriot League fans, it was an important, must-read part of the offseason.
For the second straight season, his Patsy ratings will be published here at LFN.
In the upcoming weeks, I’ll be going through the data and coming up with the rankings.
But before I do, I wanted to recap with a quick blog posting to describe exactly what it is we’re doing here.
On this icy Wednesday, Division I athletes across the country were signing their National Letters of intent.
Below the flip, find a montage of different National Signing Day pictures from WR Sasha Kelsey, OL Tim O’Hara, LB Cal Coffman, DE Justin Gille, WR Troy Pelletier, OL Kadeem Smith, DL Harrison Johnson, DB Quentin Jones, and – my favorite snapshot of all, to my left – strutting LB Hobson McCain.
(I’ll keep adding more signing day pictures to the post as I find them!)
The forecast in Eastern Pennsylvania and the Lehigh Valley tonight may call for snow and ice, but that’s unlikely to keep a lot of happy families heading to high school libraries and gyms in this area.
That’s because tomorrow is National Signing Day, the college football equivalent of Christmas.
Across the country, in some of those high school libraries and gyms, some of those students will be posing with a Lehigh hat next to them, or on their heads, to indicate that they’ve chosen Lehigh as the place they will be attending college. (Like rising junior WR Derek Knott, above, a few years ago at his signing day.)
Anticipating an announcement tomorrow, we look back. What do we know? How are we doing? Is the next LB Nigel Muhammad, RB Keith Sherman, FS Tyler Ward or WR Lee Kurfis in this class?
Everything we know thus far will be revealed below the flip.
Read more »
